Author: admin

Federal Reserve (Fed) Vice President and Board of Governors member Phillip Jefferson acknowledged that ongoing risks to both sides of the Fed’s policy mandates are seeing growing risks. The labor market is showing fresh weakness, and inflation pressures continue to mount in underlying datasets, leaving the Fed in a difficult spot on rate policy-setting.Key highlightsLess than ideal not to get jobs report, but look across array of data to assess the economy.Trends across several data series suggest job market softening, could experience stress if not supported.Decline in net immigration a major factor preventing more significant rise in unemployment.Both sides of…

Gold price advances during the North American session on Friday, up by 0.70% for the day as the US government shutdown extends to three days, poised to end the week positively for the seventh straight week. At the time of writing, XAU/USD trades at $3,882 after hitting a daily low of $3,838.XAU/USD extends weekly winning streak as lack of US data and Fed remarks keep traders leaning toward dovish betsThe US economic docket remains light, with the release of the Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) for September. Figures were mixed, as the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) revealed that the services…

Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of Dallas President Lorie Logan struck a nervous tone on Friday, warning that despite a rapidly-weakening labor market, a lot of potential policy moves could accidentally spark another round of renewed inflationary pressures.Key highlightsTariffs have been contributing to inflation.I’m worried about non-housing services inflation that’s been elevated and stuck there.There are both upside and downside risks to my inflation outlook.If labor market were to slow more than anticipate, could see more disinflation than currently expect.The risks that tariff effects are more prolonged increase risk of rise in long-term inflation expectations.Stimulating demand when labor market is broadly…

The Australian Dollar (AUD) holds modest gains versus the US Dollar (USD) on Friday, supported by a weaker Greenback as the United States (US) government shutdown drags on and the ISM Services Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) softens.At the time of writing, the pair is changing hands near 0.6600, trimming earlier gains, still on track for its first weekly advance in three weeks. Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of six major currencies, is hovering near 97.72, just above the weekly low of 97.46.Earlier in the day, data from the Institute for Supply Management…

The Euro (EUR) trades with a modest bid against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday, with EUR/USD stuck within this week’s range of 1.1750-1.1700. At the time of writing, the pair is trading around 1.1745, up about 0.22% on the day, as traders weigh the latest Eurozone and US PMI reports for clues on growth momentum and monetary policy outlook.The Greenback remains under pressure as the United States (US) government shutdown stretches into its third day, heightening concerns about near-term growth and fiscal stability. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback’s value against a basket of six major…

The rupee depreciated 7 paise to close at 88.78 (provisional) against the US dollar on Friday, near its all-time low level, on dollar demand from importers and persistent foreign fund outflows. Forex traders said the USD/INR pair is hovering around its all-time low level, weighed down by trade tensions and global uncertainties. Moreover, persistent foreign fund outflows and the ongoing US visa fee hike issue also dragged down the domestic unit. At the interbank foreign exchange, the rupee opened at 88.68 against the US dollar and touched an intraday low of 88.85 and finally settled for the day at 88.78…

The Indian rupee closed slightly weaker on Friday, steadying just above its all-time low, but sentiment remained skewed against the currency on the back of ongoing U.S.-India trade frictions and portfolio outflows. The currency remained under pressure even as the dollar was on course to notch its worst week since August against major peers as investors held firm to expectations of policy easing by the Federal Reserve, despite a government shutdown delaying key economic data releases. The rupee closed at 88.7725 against the U.S. dollar, down marginally on the week but within touching distance of its all-time low of 88.80…

The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) is scheduled to release the September Services Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) this Friday. The report is a well-trusted measure of business performance in the sector, but it is usually published on the same date as the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report, which diminishes its relevance. This time, however, things are different, as the NFP is unlikely to be published due to the ongoing United States (US) government shutdown. The US ran out of funding on Wednesday, not for the first time, nor the last. Among the immediate consequences of a shutdown are the delays…

The Indian Rupee (INR) continues to trade flat around 88.90 against the US Dollar (USD) during late Indian trading hours on Friday. Still, the USD/INR is close to its all-time high of around 89.12 posted last week.The outlook for the pair remains firm as the delay by the United States (US) and India over reaching a trade agreement has dampened the competitiveness of Indian products in the global market.Currently, Washington is charging 50% tariffs on imports from New Delhi, one of the highest in the world, which includes a 25% import duty as a penalty for buying Oil from Russia.Trade…

USD/JPY failed to hold above 150 and slipped below its 200-day moving average, with focus now shifting to support at 146.20/145.40. A break lower could open the door to further downside, Société Générale’s FX analysts note. USD/JPY slips below 200-DMA”USD/JPY recently encountered strong resistance near 150 and has dipped below the 200-day moving average, indicating a lack of sustained upward momentum. It is now gradually approaching a multi-month ascending trend line in the 146.20/145.40, which serves as short-term support.” “Failure to overcome recent peak at 150 may signal a continued pullback. If the pair is unable to defend 145.40, there…