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The dollar was steady on Monday, with the yen holding on to its recent sharp gains and hovering near a seven-month high as investors pondered possible rate hikes from the Federal Reserve and Bank of Japan in a pivotal week for monetary policy.Global policymakers are grappling with erratic pricing pressures from the six-month-long U.S.-Israeli war on Iran that has pushed oil prices well above $100 per barrel and upended the path for rates amid bouts of selloffs in long-end bonds.The European Central Bank raised rates last week and warned of further hikes, setting the stage for the Fed policy decision…
The AUD/USD pair edges lower to around 0.7160 during the early Asian session on Monday. Stronger-than-expected US inflation reports provide some support to the US Dollar (USD) against the Australian Dollar (AUD). All eyes will be on the US Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate decision on Wednesday. The US Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.4% MoM in August, putting the 12-month increase at 3.4%, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Friday. Both readings were in line with the Dow Jones consensus. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, increased by 0.3% on a monthly basis, compared to the market consensus…
De-dollarisation refers to efforts by countries to reduce their dependence on the US dollar in international trade, finance, and foreign exchange reserves. The topic has gained renewed attention as BRICS nations and several emerging economies explore the use of local currencies and alternative payment systems for cross-border transactions.For decades, the US dollar has dominated global trade and commodity markets. Most commodities, including crude oil, natural gas, gold, industrial metals, and agricultural products, are priced and traded in dollars. However, rising geopolitical tensions, sanctions-related concerns, and the desire of emerging economies to diversify their reserves have encouraged countries to look for…
The AUD/USD ended the day in the green but finished the week 0.45% lower amid growing bets that the Fed will raise rates next week, boosting the US Dollar. Nevertheless, on Friday, the pair traded at 0.7171, up a decent 0.38%.AUD/USD Price Forecast: Technical OutlookFrom a technical perspective, AUD/USD closed the week on the back foot, but the daily chart suggests a possible consolidation lies ahead.Momentum, as measured by the Relative Strength Index (RSI), is bullish, indicating further upside.Although the market structure points to higher prices, buyers must clear the high of the ‘doji’ formed on September 9 at 0.7237.…
United Overseas Bank (UOB) strategists Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note that USD/SGD has rebounded strongly, with short-term momentum pointing higher but key resistance at 1.2705 expected to limit gains. They now see an upside bias over the next one to three weeks, provided the pair holds above 1.2640, while the Singapore Dollar (SGD) Nominal Effective Exchange Rate (NEER) remains comfortably above its mid-point.Upside bias but resistance still firm”24-HOUR VIEW: Yesterday, we held the view that USD “is likely to range-trade between 1.2630 and 1.2655.” We did not expect USD to rise sharply to 1.2686. While strong momentum…
The USDCHF climbs over 0.40% on Friday after US consumer inflation data, coupled with Thursday’s PPI, pushed investors to price in a Fed interest rate hike at next week’s meeting. The pair trades at 0.8165 after rebounding from daily lows of 0.8124. Source
DBS Group Research expects Taiwan’s central bank to keep its policy rate unchanged on September 17, before raising it to 2.125% in December. Analysts Taimur Baig and Chang Wei Liang highlight subdued August CPI, but anticipate a somewhat hawkish tone as the CBC remains vigilant on supply‑side inflation risks, higher wages and recovering domestic consumption.CBC to stay vigilant on inflation risks”We expect the central bank to keep its policy rate unchanged at the September 17 policy meeting, before hiking rates to 2.125% at the next meeting in December.””That said, we expect the CBC to retain a somewhat hawkish tone.””The central…
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) trades near $97.00, about 3.4% lower and on track for its first down session in five. The Financial Times reported on Friday that Gulf foreign ministers will meet their Iranian counterpart in the Omani city of Salalah, in a push to win backing for a temporary arrangement covering shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. The meeting is on Monday. The price moved on Friday.Nothing moved through the strait, and the price moved anywayPreliminary vessel tracking counted seven ships through the Strait of Hormuz on September 10, against eleven the day before. Before the war began on…
United Overseas Bank (UOB) strategists Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann reports that USD/CNH has bounced sharply to 6.7153, with intraday gains likely capped near 6.7200. The bank’s earlier negative stance has softened as downward momentum fades, and over the next one to three weeks, it now expects the pair to edge higher within a 6.7040–6.7290 range.From downside bias to gentle rebound”24-HOUR VIEW: We indicated yesterday that USD “could trade between 6.7030 and 6.7100.” USD then dipped to 6.7043 before rising sharply to 6.7153. While the sharp rise has scope to extend, any advance is expected to face strong…
Silver price registers gains of over 1%, yet it is trading below the ‘head and shoulders’ neckline, an indication that the overall trend in the short-term may be tilted to the downside. The XAG/USD trades at $64.24, after bouncing off daily lows of $62.94.XAG/USD Price Forecast: Technical OutlookThe white metal is poised to trade sideways if it struggles to clear the neckline at around $64.10-$64.15, with bearish momentum continuing to build. Although Silver is positive in the day, momentum is tilted to the downside, as indicated by the Relative Strength Index (RSI) below the 50 neutral level, despite aiming higher.If…
