Silver (XAG/USD) prices reached the $100.00 milestone on Friday, recording an all-time high of $100.39 before retreating towards the triple-digit figure. The grey metal is posting daily gains of over 4% after bouncing off daily lows of $96.04.
Even though geopolitical risk diminished following the de-escalation of the US-European Union trade war, the US Dollar (USD) faces headwinds, continuing to extend its losses during the year.
According to TASS, Russia, Ukraine and the US talks had started in Abu Dhabi, aimed to finally reach an agreement to end the war.
XAG/USD Price Forecast: Technical outlook
Silver’s parabolic uptrend continues, as depicted by price action. Momentum, as measured by the Relative Strength Index (RSI), although overbought, remains shy of its most extreme level of 87.22, suggesting further upside in XAG prices.
XAG/USD first resistance would be $100.50, followed by $101.00. On the flipside, if Silver retreats towards the $96.00 mark, that would form a ‘bearish engulfing’ chart pattern, which could exacerbate a downward correction, at least towards the January 15 daily low of $86.19.
XAG/USD Price Chart – Daily
Silver FAQs
Silver is a precious metal highly traded among investors. It has been historically used as a store of value and a medium of exchange. Although less popular than Gold, traders may turn to Silver to diversify their investment portfolio, for its intrinsic value or as a potential hedge during high-inflation periods. Investors can buy physical Silver, in coins or in bars, or trade it through vehicles such as Exchange Traded Funds, which track its price on international markets.
Silver prices can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can make Silver price escalate due to its safe-haven status, although to a lesser extent than Gold’s. As a yieldless asset, Silver tends to rise with lower interest rates. Its moves also depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAG/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Silver at bay, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to propel prices up. Other factors such as investment demand, mining supply – Silver is much more abundant than Gold – and recycling rates can also affect prices.
Silver is widely used in industry, particularly in sectors such as electronics or solar energy, as it has one of the highest electric conductivity of all metals – more than Copper and Gold. A surge in demand can increase prices, while a decline tends to lower them. Dynamics in the US, Chinese and Indian economies can also contribute to price swings: for the US and particularly China, their big industrial sectors use Silver in various processes; in India, consumers’ demand for the precious metal for jewellery also plays a key role in setting prices.
Silver prices tend to follow Gold’s moves. When Gold prices rise, Silver typically follows suit, as their status as safe-haven assets is similar. The Gold/Silver ratio, which shows the number of ounces of Silver needed to equal the value of one ounce of Gold, may help to determine the relative valuation between both metals. Some investors may consider a high ratio as an indicator that Silver is undervalued, or Gold is overvalued. On the contrary, a low ratio might suggest that Gold is undervalued relative to Silver.
