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Home»Forex News»Oil woes, capital outflows drag rupee to record low
Forex News

Oil woes, capital outflows drag rupee to record low

adminBy adminMarch 18, 2026Updated:March 18, 2026No Comments2 Mins Read
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The Indian ​rupee fell to a record low on Wednesday, ​extending a rough patch as the raging conflict in the Middle East kept oil prices elevated, raising macroeconomic risks for Asia’s third-largest economy and sparking ‌capital outflows.

The ⁠rupee fell ⁠to 92.6225 per dollar, eclipsing its previous low of 92.4750 hit last ​week.

The currency has declined about 1.5% since the Iran war began amid ​nearly $8 billion of foreign portfolio outflows from local stocks over March so far.

Brent crude oil prices have climbed about 40% since the war broke out. Sustained high ⁠oil prices ‌would widen the current account deficit and fuel inflation in India, leaving the currency more exposed than many ⁠of its peers.

India imports over 80% of its ​energy needs. The Middle East conflict also threatens ​to curb remittances from the diaspora and hurt exports to the region.

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The rupee has not fallen more steeply largely on the back of frequent interventions by the central bank, including on Wednesday, traders said.
With oil remaining around $100 per barrel, ‌the pressure on the rupee will likely continue till the tensions ease, Dhiraj Nim, an economist and FX ​strategist at ​ANZ, said.”The RBI ⁠will be able to defend against speculation, but insofar as high oil prices will weaken the balance of payments, the RBI may ​not be adamant to hold the INR.”

The rupee was also pressured by elevated demand to buy dollars at the daily reference rate and a pick-up in importer hedging once the 92.50 level was breached, traders said.



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Brent crude oil prices capital outflows in India Indian rupee record low Middle East conflict and economy oil prices impact on rupee
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Previous ArticleRupee hits historic low, slips past 92.62 vs USD as Middle East tensions keep energy worries in focus
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